{"id":910,"date":"2014-05-09T23:30:00","date_gmt":"2014-05-09T23:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/?p=910"},"modified":"2026-01-13T00:07:52","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T00:07:52","slug":"9-may-2014-virtual-storm-chase","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/2014\/05\/09\/9-may-2014-virtual-storm-chase\/","title":{"rendered":"9 May 2014 | Virtual Storm Chase"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Chase Target:&nbsp;<strong>Fredericktown, Missouri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I didn&#8217;t have a lot of time to prepare this. I targeted a location east of the cold front in southeast Missouri where the H5 speed max would provide bulk shear in the 40-50kt range between 21Z-03Z. NAM forecasts dew points in the mid 60s in southwest Missouri with CAPE reaching 2000 j\/kg. 0-1 km SRH is not good, reaching maybe into 100 m2\/s2 after 00Z, so I don&#8217;t see more than a very odd chance at tornado potential. NAM forecasts better parameters and reflectivity further north than GFS, so I tried to split the difference between them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Results<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Nearest Tornado Report: None Reported<br>Nearest Severe Report: 16 Miles North-northwest [Hail: 1 inch] || 25 Miles Northeast [Wind: Roof off house]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"582\" height=\"408\" src=\"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/ChaseGameResults_20140509.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-911\" srcset=\"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/ChaseGameResults_20140509.jpg 582w, https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/ChaseGameResults_20140509-300x210.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 582px) 100vw, 582px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Insolation had an early start in my target area, which helped several severe warned and two tornado warned storms pass near Fredericktown. A wind report 35 miles south had this to say:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3 S GREENVILLE&nbsp;Wind Report<\/strong><br>County, State: WAYNE, MO\u2028&nbsp;&nbsp;(marker location is approximate)\u2028<br>Lat.: 37.08, Lon.: -90.45<br>\u2028Time: 2014-05-09 20:00<br>UTC\u2028Wind Speed: Unknown<br>TREE LIMBS DOWN AND DAMAGE TO CAMPER AWNINGS AT THE OLD GREENVILLE CAMPGROUND. UNCONFIRMED REPORT OF FUNNEL CLOUD ASSOCIATED WITH DAMAGE. DAMAGE PATH ESTIMATED AROUND O (PAH)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chase Target:&nbsp;Fredericktown, Missouri I didn&#8217;t have a lot of time to prepare this. I targeted a location east of the cold front in southeast Missouri where the H5 speed max would provide bulk shear in the 40-50kt range between 21Z-03Z. NAM forecasts dew points in the mid 60s in southwest Missouri with CAPE reaching 2000 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":835,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[27,58,50],"class_list":["post-910","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forecasting","tag-forecasting","tag-meteorology","tag-storm-chasing"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/910","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=910"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/910\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":912,"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/910\/revisions\/912"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/835"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=910"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=910"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/perezmedia.net\/ceruleanarc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=910"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}